Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 3.548715 3.771542 4.010472 4.287401 4.601711 4.950044 5.369109
2025-05-04 3.345017 3.669446 4.039204 4.498642 5.064476 5.753525 6.681872
2025-05-11 3.133109 3.523529 3.990940 4.607231 5.424869 6.517470 8.182912
2025-05-18 2.919881 3.348045 3.881153 4.619798 5.666486 7.194777 9.850132
2025-05-25 2.686639 3.122201 3.679689 4.480559 5.674057 7.547494 11.211570
2025-06-01 2.524045 2.970304 3.556633 4.429257 5.798179 8.122099 13.362820
2025-06-08 2.392639 2.846956 3.457973 4.397323 5.944967 8.790272 16.349368
2025-06-15 2.297974 2.764256 3.406138 4.426300 6.197389 9.763854 21.549577
2025-06-22 2.179306 2.639479 3.282366 4.326387 6.203690 10.237972 26.253407
2025-06-29 2.059333 2.505204 3.134117 4.170074 6.077605 10.369354 30.129470
2025-07-06 1.969343 2.407874 3.033308 4.080769 6.064765 10.790019 37.714399
2025-07-13 1.945721 2.403001 3.069779 4.225037 6.548200 12.848070 85.275161
2025-07-20 1.902108 2.371959 3.072008 4.326854 7.014233 15.503639 3990.876342
2025-07-27 1.870813 2.357352 3.099517 4.481627 7.670916 20.088024 NaN
2025-08-03 1.823200 2.315346 3.079565 4.545701 8.142954 25.298633 NaN
2025-08-10 1.764571 2.253141 3.021398 4.527156 8.395807 30.438845 NaN
2025-08-17 1.687603 2.158850 2.903045 4.372442 8.209634 31.650445 NaN
2025-08-24 1.631839 2.094929 2.832294 4.309203 8.292305 36.587854 NaN
2025-08-31 1.584113 2.041259 2.775525 4.268934 8.441692 44.324141 NaN
2025-09-07 1.549329 2.006193 2.748450 4.289267 8.809846 62.681241 NaN
2025-09-14 1.499244 1.944624 2.671113 4.190088 8.725966 71.165903 NaN
2025-09-21 1.444678 1.873996 2.574416 4.039378 8.417613 69.126838 NaN
2025-09-28 1.402631 1.822006 2.508475 3.952919 8.334898 78.127517 NaN